Pre-tourney Rankings
Conference USA
2015-16


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
117 UAB 0.0%   25 - 6 16 - 2 25 - 6 16 - 2 +3.2      +2.3 111 +0.9 150 70.4 160 +6.8 89 +9.8 1
118 Old Dominion 0.0%   22 - 13 12 - 6 22 - 13 12 - 6 +3.1      +0.3 165 +2.8 98 58.3 347 +1.4 144 +0.5 4
130 Middle Tennessee 100.0%   14   22 - 9 13 - 5 22 - 9 13 - 5 +2.4      -0.8 190 +3.1 93 68.5 218 +4.5 109 +3.1 2
150 Marshall 0.0%   17 - 16 12 - 6 17 - 16 12 - 6 +0.9      +4.3 73 -3.5 266 91.5 3 +0.1 166 +2.0 3
161 Louisiana Tech 0.0%   21 - 9 12 - 6 21 - 9 12 - 6 +0.1      0.0 171 +0.1 177 76.2 57 +2.2 136 -0.6 5
181 Western Kentucky 0.0%   16 - 16 8 - 10 16 - 16 8 - 10 -1.0      +2.5 107 -3.5 267 68.0 229 -1.2 181 -3.7 8
195 Charlotte 0.0%   14 - 19 9 - 9 14 - 19 9 - 9 -2.1      +0.6 159 -2.7 246 74.7 73 -3.9 224 -3.2 7
222 UTEP 0.0%   18 - 14 10 - 8 18 - 14 10 - 8 -3.6      -1.1 196 -2.4 234 77.0 50 -2.5 202 -3.1 6
236 Florida International 0.0%   11 - 19 7 - 11 11 - 19 7 - 11 -4.6      -1.4 203 -3.2 260 64.3 305 -7.5 281 -6.6 11
277 Rice 0.0%   10 - 20 7 - 11 10 - 20 7 - 11 -7.5      +0.7 157 -8.2 343 72.5 111 -7.2 276 -6.3 10
290 North Texas 0.0%   10 - 20 7 - 11 10 - 20 7 - 11 -8.5      -3.4 257 -5.1 306 74.6 77 -8.1 287 -6.2 9
301 Florida Atlantic 0.0%   7 - 23 5 - 13 7 - 23 5 - 13 -9.2      -6.4 315 -2.8 250 68.8 206 -9.5 300 -9.3 12
302 Southern Miss 0.0%   7 - 20 5 - 13 7 - 20 5 - 13 -9.3      -5.0 296 -4.2 285 60.3 343 -9.6 303 -10.0 13
339 Texas San Antonio 0.0%   4 - 26 3 - 15 4 - 26 3 - 15 -13.8      -5.0 295 -8.8 346 77.8 36 -15.4 343 -13.9 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
UAB 1.0 100.0
Old Dominion 3.0 100.0
Middle Tennessee 2.0 100.0
Marshall 3.0 100.0
Louisiana Tech 3.0 100.0
Western Kentucky 8.0 100.0
Charlotte 7.0 100.0
UTEP 6.0 100.0
Florida International 9.0 100.0
Rice 9.0 100.0
North Texas 9.0 100.0
Florida Atlantic 12.0 100.0
Southern Miss 12.0 100.0
Texas San Antonio 14.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
UAB 16 - 2 100.0
Old Dominion 12 - 6 100.0
Middle Tennessee 13 - 5 100.0
Marshall 12 - 6 100.0
Louisiana Tech 12 - 6 100.0
Western Kentucky 8 - 10 100.0
Charlotte 9 - 9 100.0
UTEP 10 - 8 100.0
Florida International 7 - 11 100.0
Rice 7 - 11 100.0
North Texas 7 - 11 100.0
Florida Atlantic 5 - 13 100.0
Southern Miss 5 - 13 100.0
Texas San Antonio 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UAB 100.0% 100.0
Old Dominion
Middle Tennessee
Marshall
Louisiana Tech
Western Kentucky
Charlotte
UTEP
Florida International
Rice
North Texas
Florida Atlantic
Southern Miss
Texas San Antonio


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UAB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Middle Tennessee 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.1 7.2 81.2 11.5
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Charlotte 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UTEP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida International 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rice 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Texas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida Atlantic 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas San Antonio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UAB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Middle Tennessee 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 7.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UTEP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida International 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rice 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Texas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Atlantic 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas San Antonio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 7.9% 0.1 92.1 7.9
Sweet Sixteen 1.2% 0.0 98.8 1.2
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0